Notcoin (NOT) has failed to join the recent crypto market rally, experiencing a significant price correction of nearly 14% over the past week and 28% over the last three months. The token is now trading just above its all-time low, with a bearish outlook based on several key indicators.
On-Chain and Technical Indicators Point to Bearish Momentum
Current market data shows that retail investors are selling off their holdings, as indicated by a 6.5% increase in exchange inflows over the last seven days. This surge in tokens being moved to exchanges suggests that sellers are in control, despite some buying activity from larger holders (whales). The Bull-Bear Power Indicator also confirms this bearish sentiment, as it is increasing on the daily chart.
Notcoin’s technical chart is flashing a major warning sign. A “death crossover” risk is imminent on the 4-hour chart, where the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is poised to cross below the 200-period EMA. Historically, this pattern has preceded sharp price drops for NOT, and a confirmed crossover could push the price toward a retest of its all-time low of $0.0018 or even lower.
A Glimmer of Hope from Bullish Divergence
The only positive sign for Notcoin comes from the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator. While the price has been making lower lows, the CMF has printed a higher low, a technical signal known as a bullish divergence. This suggests that selling pressure may be starting to weaken. However, for this to translate into a price recovery, the CMF needs to turn positive, and the current high exchange inflows would need to reverse into outflows.
In the near term, the bearish signals are dominant. A break below the $0.0018 support level is the more likely outcome, leaving the token at risk of a new all-time low if the technical and on-chain metrics do not improve.
August 2025, Cryptoniteuae
