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Cardano (ADA): Is a Rebound Imminent?

Despite recent struggles against bearish pressure, the current decline in Cardano’s (ADA) price may be creating a buying opportunity, as the token enters a key accumulation range. This potential shift is being signaled by on-chain metrics and a return of investor capital.


On-Chain Indicators Suggest a Market Bottom

The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio suggests ADA is in an “opportunity zone,” with most holders currently experiencing unrealized losses (MVRV values between -9% and -19%). Historically, this range often marks a local market bottom where selling pressure slows and accumulation by new buyers begins. This could be the first sign of a positive shift in market sentiment.

This potential turnaround is reinforced by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator. The CMF has been consistently positive, showing active capital inflows back into ADA and signaling a return of investor confidence. Sustained capital inflow, especially when combined with reduced selling, often precedes a price recovery.


Price Analysis and Key Levels

Currently trading at $0.641, ADA is holding above its immediate support at $0.623 but is being capped by resistance at $0.661.

  • Bullish Scenario: If the current positive trends continue, ADA could break the $0.661 resistance and aim for $0.696. A confirmed recovery, however, would require the price to reach and hold above $0.754.
  • Bearish Scenario: Conversely, a return of selling pressure could cause the price to drop below $0.623 and test $0.608. A failure to hold these lower supports would invalidate the bullish outlook and likely lead to further price declines.

October 2025, Cryptoniteuae

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Vaibhavv Ali
Vaibhavv Ali

Vaibhavv Ali is the founder and editor of Cryptonite (cryptonite.ae), an independent digital-asset news and analysis publication with a UAE focus. He covers virtual-asset regulation — VARA, ADGM and the UAE Central Bank — alongside real-world-asset tokenization, stablecoins and agentic AI in finance. Every Cryptonite article is human-edited and its sources are linked. He is also a celebrated speaker and host.

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