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Pi Coin’s Recent Price Bounce May Be a “Bear Trap”

The price of Pi Coin (PI) has recently shown a small increase, rising to around $0.36. While this might seem encouraging, technical analysis suggests that the bounce is a “bear trap” that could lead to a new all-time low.

Several indicators point to potential weakness. The Money Flow Index (MFI) shows that retail traders are buying the dip, but the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is negative, indicating a lack of meaningful investment from larger players. This mismatch between retail and institutional interest suggests the rally lacks strong support.

Furthermore, a hidden bearish divergence is visible on the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart. This occurs when the price makes lower highs while the RSI makes higher highs, a classic signal that the downtrend is likely to continue.

The 4-hour chart reveals a head-and-shoulders pattern, a bearish formation that suggests a price drop. The “neckline” of this pattern is at $0.33. If the price falls below this level, the target is a drop toward $0.31, which would be a new all-time low. The only way to invalidate this bearish outlook is for the price to close above $0.37, which would break the bearish pattern and potentially restore momentum for the bulls.

September 2025, Cryptoniteuae

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Vaibhavv Ali
Vaibhavv Ali

Vaibhavv Ali is the founder and editor of Cryptonite (cryptonite.ae), an independent digital-asset news and analysis publication with a UAE focus. He covers virtual-asset regulation — VARA, ADGM and the UAE Central Bank — alongside real-world-asset tokenization, stablecoins and agentic AI in finance. Every Cryptonite article is human-edited and its sources are linked. He is also a celebrated speaker and host.

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