Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) each encountered significant resistance levels over the weekend, leading to declines that suggest potential continuation of downward trends in the coming days. Here’s a closer look at the technical analysis and current market conditions for these major cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin has been testing and struggling to break through the $62,066 resistance level, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the recent high of $70,079 on July 29 to the low of $49,101 earlier this week. As of Monday, Bitcoin is trading slightly lower at $58,564, down 0.3%.
Should the $62,066 resistance hold, combined with the broken trendline and the 100-day Exponential Moving Average at approximately $63,021, we could see increased selling pressure. A failure to surpass this key level might trigger a 19% decline, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards the $49,917 support level.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Awesome Oscillator (AO) on the daily chart are both trading below their neutral thresholds of 50 and zero, respectively, indicating bearish dominance. However, if Bitcoin manages to close above the August 2 high of $65,596, it could establish a higher high, potentially driving a 6% increase to challenge the weekly resistance at $69,648.
Ethereum is facing resistance near the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $2,843, derived from the swing high of $3,562 on July 22 and the low of $2,124 on August 5. This resistance level closely aligns with the daily resistance at $2,927. Currently, Ethereum is trading slightly lower at $2,537, down 0.7% as of Monday.
If Ethereum fails to surpass the $2,843 resistance, it could see a significant drop of 25% to test the weekly support level at $2,118. This bearish outlook is supported by the RSI and AO, both of which are below their neutral levels, signaling bearish dominance.
Conversely, if Ethereum's price closes above the July 29 high of $3,396, it could form a higher high on the daily chart, potentially leading to a 5% increase to revisit the July 22 high of $3,562.
Ripple’s price encountered resistance at the daily level of $0.643 on August 8, resulting in a 10.35% decline over the following three days. As of Monday, Ripple is trading slightly higher by 1.45% at $0.560, with support around $0.544.
A break below the $0.544 support level could lead to a further decline of 10%, potentially retesting the low of August 7 at $0.492. The RSI on the daily chart has slipped below its neutral level of 50, and the AO is also trending downward. A continued decline in these momentum indicators would reinforce the bearish trend.
On the flip side, if Ripple’s price manages to close above the $0.643 daily resistance level, it would change the market structure by forming a higher high on the daily chart. This could drive a 12% increase towards the next resistance level at $0.724.
The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple suggests that these cryptocurrencies may face continued downward pressure if current resistance levels hold. Traders should monitor these key levels closely as they could dictate short-term price movements and potential trends. As always, staying informed with up-to-date market analysis and technical indicators is crucial for making well-informed trading decisions.
August 2024, Cryptoniteuae