As the U.S. general elections approach on November 5, 2024, the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), is steadily gaining momentum. The growing mainstream adoption of digital assets among both retail traders and institutional investors has increasingly intertwined with the political landscape.
Currently, over 50 million American voters are involved in the crypto market, and this trend is expected to continue. Consequently, it’s likely that the policies regarding cryptocurrency will significantly influence the upcoming presidential election.
According to Polymarket, a decentralized prediction marketplace, the odds of Donald Trump winning the election against Kamala Harris have risen to 63%. Tech billionaire Elon Musk has suggested that Trump's chances could even reach 69%, particularly in crucial swing states.
This speculation has led crypto enthusiasts to anticipate a bullish breakout for Bitcoin, reminiscent of patterns observed during previous elections. However, Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff warns that a Trump victory could trigger a “sell-the-news” reaction in the market.
Schiff also emphasizes that gold is likely to maintain its appeal as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. Recently, gold prices have surged, reaching a new all-time high of over $2,730 per ounce, which has reinvigorated interest in the precious metal.
Renowned trader Peter Brandt has noted that Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal point that will influence its next move. From a technical analysis perspective, Brandt suggests that Bitcoin could either drop to $48,000 or potentially break out towards a new all-time high soon.
Meanwhile, institutional investors, particularly those involved in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF initiatives, are betting on an imminent rally for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, akin to the trends seen in gold and major stock indexes.
As the election date approaches, the interplay between political developments and cryptocurrency policies will likely continue to shape the market landscape.
October 2024, Cryptoniteuae